FROST ADVISORY FROM THE NWS IN WILMINGTON FROM 2-10 AM MONDAY.
Well, we’re quite chilly this morning, but it looks like a nice recovery is in store later this week! Welcome to your Sunday forecast discussion for September 23, 2012!
TODAY: As I write this at 5 AM, winds have gone light, allowing temperatures to fall as low as 37. We’re going to be dry today — but we’re also dealing with a northwest wind. That wind, combined with a trough over the area, won’t let warm air move in…consequently, I have highs in around 61-62. Skies will go partly cloudy this afternoon but I believe that will be all, as the best dynamics for showers are north of the area.
TONIGHT: Okay, now THIS is the coldest part of our forecast. As we go through tonight, the cold air continues to spill in, kinda like water from a glass. Expect a low temperature Monday morning between 34 in low lying & more rural areas and 39 in the city. You see where this is going…widespread frost develops in the overnight period. That is why a FROST ADVISORY is in effect Monday morning areawide. Cover those sensitive plants!
MONDAY: We’ll keep the forecast dry and sunny on Monday, and with winds switching around to the south it looks like highs will recover to the upper 60’s. I’m going 68.
TUESDAY-FRIDAY: We will certainly stick with the warmup we’ve been teasing. Tuesday morning it looks like moisture will pool up around here, and with an approaching disturbance I can’t rule out something convective popping up, so I’ll keep a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms for the afternoon. Another front drops through on Wednesday, but hangs up just south of here Thursday. So I’m keeping the rain chances in for both Wednesday and Thursday. Here’s where things change: I now need to put a rain chance IN for Thursday night and Friday. Models are depicting a surface low organizing Thursday night and riding up the front, while bringing the front back north. Consequently, it remains unsettled around here and so the chance of rain has to be added to the forecast. It doesn’t appear that this front will have much if any impact on temperatures…we’ll stay in the 70’s through the period with lows in the 50’s, effectively around normal.
SATURDAY: Finally, I think the front clears the Tri-State late Friday night. That leads to dry weather on Saturday, skies clearing, and highs again in the 70’s. Right now, the Spina Bifida Association of Cincinnati Walk and Roll looks fine. Of course, this forecast is a week out and MAY change.
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NEXT DISCUSSION: We’re back at it as normal on Monday with the next update at 6 AM. Until then, take care and stay warm!