Monday 10/15 PM Discussion: A Roller Coaster Ride of Temperatures!

We dodged another severe weather bullet…welcome to your Monday evening forecast for October 15, 2012!

TONIGHT: I think we remain dry, with a low probably around 43. I will note that dewpoints are closer to 38, but I’m not that sure winds won’t stay up tonight to go into the 30’s.

TUESDAY: Tomorrow looks dry as well, with highs around 64. Lows Tuesday night will be around 48.

WEDNESDAY: As we head into Wednesday, a complex, multi-part storm will move east towards our area. Highs will be in the low to middle 70’s. We are concerned that the timing of a cold front with this will be such as to spark storms, and potentially severe weather. Stay tuned. I do think much of the day is dry, but the rain moves in late day. Wednesday night we’ll only fall to the lower 50’s even with all the rain.

THURSDAY-SATURDAY: That complex situation continues through this period. At this point, I continue to believe there’ll be a rain chance through this period, with an upper low in play especially Friday. Timing seems to have sped up a bit, but I’m not ready to completely pull rain from the Saturday forecast and will give this a few more runs to resolve. Highs will be around 55 on Thursday, 59 on Friday and 57 on Saturday. Lows through this period will be more like 40-45 (I was a bit low I think).

SUNDAY-MONDAY: We finally dry out completely. Here’s the issue: Guidance is suggesting highs around 68 both Sunday and Monday. I find it hard to believe we’ll warm up that much on Sunday. I will therefore bump highs a few degrees that day, but only to 62. Monday looks more likely to hit that 68 degree mark. Lows will be around 47.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Follow along as I watch our skies and, as warranted, our streets:

NKYWx on Facebook
NKYWx on Twitter

NEXT UPDATE: The next update will be Tuesday morning. Until then, take care!

Jeremy

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