Sunday Night 10/28 Forecast Update: Here Comes the Wind and Rain

A WIND ADVISORY goes into effect at noon tomorrow until 6 PM Tuesday.

Good evening everyone! One administrative note before I start with the update: Beginning with this post I’m not going to do forecasts for the time period from Wednesday night onward. We will be specifically focusing on this event while it’s happening.

One other thing I’d like to note, that I mentioned on social media: The 18Z models do bring an inch or two of snow to our eastern counties. I’m not going with that in my forecast. The biggest reason is that I don’t think snowfall rates would be significant enough to where the snow would stick. That said, at various points some snow could mix in. So, here we go…

TONIGHT: I think the rain stays to our east for tonight. I can’t rule out a few snowflakes mixing in tonight late for Adams and Lewis counties and points east. Lows will be around 33.

MONDAY: Here’s where conditions start heading downhill! Rain won’t quite make it to metro Cincinnati, but I think we’ll see a slow progression through the day. Winds will also increase through the day. By evening look for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 40-45. Highs will reach 45 at best. Too much cold air flowing into the area to go with the upper 40’s the NWS is showing.

MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY: This is the really ugly part of the forecast. We’ll head into Monday night with the winds continuing, strong from the north. By noon on Tuesday I think we could see gusts to 50-55 MPH. Rain and wind will also continue. The best chance of snow mixing into the equation in metro Cincinnati will be in this time frame. Lows will be around 31 with highs AT BEST on Tuesday only around 40. Yes, I’m going cooler than the NWS forecast.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY: From here, things will slowly improve. Tuesday night I still think winds will be gusty, to as high as 45 MPH. Rain will taper off slowly from the west Wednesday morning, as Sandy scoots off to the northeast. I am at this point going to say that we still need to allow for a rain/snow mix east of town. Lows on Tuesday night will fall to near 30, with highs on Wednesday rising to 45.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Please note that there’ve been a lot of tweets and Facebook posts that are NOT about Cincinnati. I am making an effort to try to warn as many folks as possible to get the heck out of the way. That said, follow along:

NKYWx on Facebook
NKYWx on Twitter

NEXT UPDATE: My next update to the blog will be tomorrow morning. After that, I’m not going to promise anything because it will depend on the internet staying up here at HQ. If it goes offline, updates will be less frequent, but I cannot promise when they’ll go up (I do have a smartphone, and have means to power it as may be necessary). Take care…PLEASE be safe over the next 72 hours!



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