Monday New Year’s Eve 2012 Morning Forecast: A Little More Snow

TODAY INTO NEW YEAR’S DAY: The next snow affects our region, and yes I said snow. There should be no doubt about this one — it will accumulate on top of what’s already on the ground, and temperatures should support it throughout. The problem is, there’s less moisture being shown. I went with 2-4″ yesterday, and that’s definitely looking too high based on the guidance. We’ll adjust to 1-2″ with the better amounts north of the I-275 loop. HOWEVER…I could end up with a forecast that was right before this change, and for what it’s worth the NWS in Indianapolis is hoisting Winter Weather Advisories for 2-4″ of snow — so, I can’t fully rule out upping those amounts again. I still question what the NWS in Wilmington is doing with highs in the middle 30’s today, given a) snow cover still on the ground and b) clouds overspreading the area for sure by mid-morning. I will roll with a high only near 34 today with lows around 30 tonight as a compromise between what I thought would be closer to 30 for a high today, and the 36 or 37 I see in the numerical guidance that I still disagree with, based on the above. Expect temperatures to not move far tomorrow, with a high up around freezing being all we manage to do for the first day of 2013.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: I think we stay in the freezer. Lows will be in the teens (and probably LOWER teens at that) and highs at best in the upper 20’s to lower 30’s once again. Wednesday should be totally dry, but Thursday I do need to leave a slight chance of snow in for the northern counties of the Cincinnati area. If things continue trending as they have been, I might remove that with the evening update.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Cold continues to be the word that describes this period. Lows will be near 12 and 14 on Friday and Saturday mornings and then I have us around 16 Sunday morning, with highs still in the upper 20’s to lower 30’s! If you live north of town or in any area that tends to get colder, I can’t rule out a single digit reading Wednesday through Saturday mornings! Talk about a deep freeze!

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NEXT UPDATE: I’m going to be back with an afternoon update but it will hinge on my evening plans. If you’re heading out tonight, please be smart and safe — don’t drink and drive and buckle up! Take care.

Jeremy Moses

Sunday 12/30 AM Forecast: Another Round of Snow!

We’re closing out 2012 with quite a bit of snow! What should you expect into 2013? Here is your morning update for Sunday, December 30!

TODAY: As we close in on the final days of 2012, I expect dry weather again. We will keep highs down to 27 degrees AT BEST for the sold-out Bengals regular season finale! Brrrrr! If we cloud up this afternoon, expect a high closer to 24. Either way, a great atmosphere for football heading into the NFL Playoffs!

MONDAY INTO NEW YEAR’S DAY: The next snow affects our region, and yes I said snow. There will be no doubt about this one — it will accumulate on top of what’s already on the ground, and temperatures will support it throughout. My early thoughts are that the area will see another 2-4″ of snow by the time it winds down Tuesday afternoon. I am not going conservative, as the last storm overachieved and I can’t help but to think this one will do the same thing. I wouldn’t be surprised if amounts turn out to be higher than even that 2-4″. I also question what ILN is doing with highs in the middle 30’s tomorrow, given a) snow cover and b) clouds overspreading the area for sure by mid-morning. I will roll with a high only near 32 both Monday and Tuesday with lows in the lower 20’s tonight and then around 30 tomorrow night.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: I think we stay in the freezer. Lows will be in the teens and highs at best in the upper 20’s once again. Wednesday should be dry, but Thursday I do need to put a slight chance of snow in. Winter is definitely here.

FRIDAY: A cold day for sure but I think we’re partly cloudy and dry. Highs will be in the middle 20’s.

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NEXT UPDATE: I’m heading to Bengals/Ravens today, but will do an update after returning from the game. Until then, take care! (Oh, and for my Bengals fans: WHO-DEY!)

Jeremy Moses

Saturday 12/29 PM Forecast: Cold!!!

TONIGHT: I do expect some clearing overnight. Lows will be frigid cold. I am going 17 degrees night but it frankly wouldn’t surprise me to see 12 or 13 degrees here or there.

SUNDAY: As we close in on the final days of 2012, I expect dry weather again. We will keep highs down to 27 degrees AT BEST for the sold-out Bengals regular season finale! Brrrrr! I will watch the trends to see if this needs to be bumped downward.

MONDAY INTO NEW YEAR’S DAY: I had Monday dry, but now indications are that another quick shot of some snow will be around as we ring in 2013 Monday into early Tuesday. Early guidance (emphasis on that word, it’s not a cut-and-dry forecast) paints a couple inches of snow for most of us, but I’m not going to forecast that yet. I’ll endeavor to put out a first call on Sunday morning. Highs will be around 32 Monday and 28 on Tuesday, with lows in the upper teens to lower 20’s.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: I think we stay in the freezer. Lows will be in the upper teens and highs at best in the upper 20’s once again. Wednesday should be dry, but Thursday I do need to put a slight chance of snow in. Winter is definitely here.

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NEXT UPDATE: As a heads up, tomorrow I will be at the aforementioned Bengals regular season finale with my mom (who’s taking me to THIS game in return for me taking HER to the opener), so I don’t know about updates other than the afternoon yet. Until then, take care!

Jeremy Moses

12/29 Saturday Morning Winter Storm Update: Still Some To Go

WINTER STORM WARNING areawide, except Fayette and Union counties in Indiana which have a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY, all in effect until 1 PM today…

TODAY: Snow will continue through the morning, with some of it heavier in places, and then it will taper to some scattered snow showers this afternoon. I had highs around 30, but to be honest, this might have been a bit low given where we are beginning this morning. I will adjust to 34. Tonight’s lows could be frigid cold. For now, I’ll go 23 and watch the trends to see if I need to adjust lower.

HOW MUCH?: By the end of the day today, including afternoon snow showers, MOST AREAS will be in the 3-6″ range! I can’t even rule out a 7″ snow amount or two in places that receive a heavy snow band for awhile this morning. That’s right…yesterday’s forecast was too low. You can bet I’ll be digging to see what I did wrong.

SUNDAY: As we close in on the final days of 2012, I expect dry weather again. We will keep highs in the upper 20’s AT BEST for the sold-out Bengals regular season finale! Brrrrr! Again, I will watch the temperature trends to see if this needs to be bumped downward.

MONDAY INTO NEW YEAR’S DAY: A dry day for Monday, but indications are that another quick shot of some kind of wintry precipitation will be around as we ring in 2013 Monday night and Tuesday. Although guidance suggests that this too will be in the form of snow, it’s way too early to grasp at specifics until we finish this event later today. Highs will be around 32, with lows in the upper teens.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Back to being dry, and I think we stay in the freezer too. Lows will be in the upper teens and highs at best in the upper 20’s once again. Winter is definitely here.

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NEXT UPDATE: I should be back this evening with an update. As a heads up, on Sunday I will be at the aforementioned Bengals regular season finale with my mom (who’s taking me to THIS game in return for me taking HER to the opener), so I don’t know about updates for that day yet. Until tonight, take care!

Jeremy Moses

Friday 12/28 Winter Storm Update: Snowy Friday Night Ahead!

WINTER STORM WARNING for Franklin, Dearborn, Ohio, Ripley and Switzerland counties in Indiana; for Butler, Clermont, Clinton, Hamilton, Highland and Warren Counties in OH; and for Boone, Kenton and Campbell counties in NKY; WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for all other counties in the NKYWx Coverage Area — both in effect 7 PM tonight to 1 PM Saturday…

TONIGHT AND SATURDAY: Another storm moves in, and this one should be a snowy one. Snow will begin this evening. South of the river, I can’t rule out a mix with rain at onset before the quick flip to all snow, but I do believe that that flip happens by midnight. I believe that precipitation will continue through a good portion of Saturday afternoon, although more scattered as you get past about 2 PM. I am going with lows around 24 tonight and a high recovering on Saturday to at best 30.

HOW MUCH?: This is always the big question. Here’s my thinking, and this is a rough approximation, given that right now my computer is on the fritz and won’t let me do much else:

Fayette, Union and extreme NW Franklin counties and east along I-70: 2-3″
South of that, including most of Franklin and everyone else south of I-74 in Indiana and east into approximately the north half of Highland County, including Cincinnati metro and extreme NKY: 3-5″
South of the 3-5″ including the rest of NKY, most of Brown County (excluding the panhandle area), Adams County and the south half of Highland County: 1-3″

SUNDAY: As we close in on the final days of 2012, I expect dry weather again. We will keep highs in the upper 20’s for the sold-out Bengals regular season finale! Brrrrr!

MONDAY INTO NEW YEAR’S DAY: A dry day for Monday, but indications are that another quick shot of some kind of wintry precipitation will be around as we ring in 2013 Monday night and Tuesday. Although guidance suggests that this too will be in the form of snow, it’s way too early to grasp at specifics until we get through tonight and tomorrow. Highs will be around 32, with lows in the upper teens.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Back to being dry, and I think we stay in the freezer too. Lows will be in the upper teens and highs at best in the upper 20’s once again. Winter is definitely here.

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NEXT UPDATE: I will be here tomorrow all day to track the snow, and may go with two updates. There will DEFINITELY be one tomorrow morning. Until then, take care!

Jeremy Moses

A Primer on Snow Emergencies: What Are They and How Do They Affect Me?

A SNOW EMERGENCY was declared by Kenton County at 4 PM this afternoon. You might be asking what this means for you.

In many counties, there is a three tier system for snow emergencies. These tiers are usually as follows:

Level One: Motorists are advised to use caution due to hazardous road conditions resulting from accumulations of snow and/or ice.

Level Two: Road conditions are extremely hazardous due to snow and/or ice and essential travel only is advised.

Level Three: Road conditions are extremely dangerous and travel is restricted to the following purposes: Public safety and emergency personnel travel; Travel to and from work if required by your employer; Travel for medical purposes or to obtain necessary provisions. Travel for any other purposes is considered to be nonessential and violations will be enforced by law enforcement personnel.

(Wording can be different from county to county, the above is from Boone County, KY.)

Also, if a Snow Emergency is declared by the county AND at least two inches of snow is predicted, on-street parking is usually PROHIBITED.

In cities, Snow Emergencies can also be declared. In these cases, on-street parking is PROHIBITED and cars must be moved off streets or you risk being towed. Some communities do designate specific routes as snow emergency routes, in which cases only those streets are affected. Others do not, and in those cases the policy applies to ALL streets.

Please be sure to follow the directions of your local emergency authorities. Doing so will save you a lot of problems.

Friday 12/28 Morning Forecast: Another Snowstorm On The Way

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for everyone except Mason and Lewis counties in NKY 7 PM tonight to 1 PM Saturday…

We have another cold day and some more snow on tap this weekend! Here’s your Friday morning forecast for December 28, 2012!

TODAY: I expect dry weather today, with cold temperatures once more. I think we’ll still be in the lower 30’s…to me upper 30’s like NWS Wilmington is saying still seems a bit warm with the snowpack to the northwest.

TONIGHT AND SATURDAY: Another storm moves in, and this one should be a snowy one. I believe precipitation holds off until sometime this evening. Snowfall accumulations of 3-5 inches are probable by the time snow ends in most areas, save our southeast counties which will see rain and snow mixed through a good portion of the event leading to lower totals closer to 1-3″. I believe that precipitation will continue through a good portion of Saturday afternoon and that snow to liquid ratios may also be higher due to colder temperatures, thus my higher snowfall totals. I am going with lows around 24 tonight and a high recovering on Saturday to at best 30.

SUNDAY: As we close in on the final days of 2012, I expect dry weather again. We will likely keep highs in the upper 20’s for the Bengals regular season finale! Brrrrr!

MONDAY INTO NEW YEAR’S DAY: A dry day for Monday, but indications are that another quick shot of some kind of wintry precipitation will be around as we ring in 2013 Monday night and Tuesday. Although guidance suggests that this too will be in the form of snow, it’s way too early to grasp at specifics until we get through tonight and tomorrow. Highs will be around 32, with lows in the upper teens.

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NEXT UPDATE: I will be back this evening to track the latest on the weekend snow! Until then, take care!

Jeremy Moses