Sunday Morning 12/23 Update: Freezing Rain Tonight?

We’re still watching wintry precipitation potential for tonight, AND a huge storm for the day after Christmas! Here’s the morning update for December 23, 2012!

TODAY: As we go through your day we’ll be dry for a good portion, if not all of the daytime hours. However, clouds will increase. I expect highs this afternoon around 42.

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY: Tonight is when things get ugly. Low pressure is expected to scoot up through Kentucky and West Virginia. The setup is that a layer of warm air will allow the precip to fall as rain, but surface temperatures will be below freezing. So, as the precipitation starts it’ll probably be freezing rain for a good portion of the area, except for areas from Carrollton to Falmouth and Mount Olivet, which might stay plain liquid rain throughout. Even Brooksville and Maysville, Kentucky over to West Union, Ohio may stay all rain due to proximity to the low. Everyone changes over to plain rain Monday by midday as temperatures get above freezing. Any ice accumulations should stay below a tenth of an inch, considering that the rain won’t be that heavy. This is good news. Lows tonight will end up around 28 or so with highs tomorrow making it to, at best, 37.

CHRISTMAS DAY: The holiday itself looks good and dry. While I’m certain it WON’T be a White Christmas (unfortunately), I do think it’ll be a sunny one with highs near 43.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY: Confidence is increasing that a significant storm will impact the area. What type of precipitation will depend on the track of the low pressure system, but the models generally keep it east of Cincinnati. If the track shifts a bit more east, that could put the metro in a heavy snow zone. A westward shift would mean the potential for plain old rain sneaks in especially east. STAY TUNED — we’ll know more sometime in the next 24 hours as to the track, as the storm gets onshore and the upper air data is sampled. Highs will be in the lower or middle 30’s with lows in the middle 20’s.

TODAY’S TRAVEL FORECAST: The west continues to be socked in as our midweek storm makes its way onshore today. Lake enhanced snows will continue downwind of Lake Ontario. The southeast will see rain and storms ahead of the system affecting us tonight. A front will be draped across the midsection of the country, and some snow will be possible across the upper Midwest.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Follow along with us:

NKYWx on Facebook
NKYWx on Twitter

NEXT UPDATE: My next post will be tomorrow morning — I am going to be off spending the rest of today with my fiancée and her family, as they celebrate Christmas. 🙂 My friend Corey Ecton of Severe Weather Concepts might have a post this afternoon, if I can get him set up. Until then, take care!

Jeremy

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