TONIGHT:I expect us to fall only to 30, as clouds will increase in the overnight period. Your evening looks okay though.
WEDNESDAY: There will be rain and snow affecting most of the area. The question is, how much? Well…the GFS doesn’t give us much, with maybe a half inch over our south and southeast. The latest NAM came out with up to 2″ in that same area. I lean ever so slightly toward the GFS, but the NAM (and most of the models, to be honest) completely smoked the GFS on the northeastern blizzard, like Aroldis Chapman throwing his 105 mph fastball does to batters. (Thinking baseball here at NKYWx as pitchers and catchers reported today.) So, a half inch should do it for areas from Owenton to Falmouth to Maysville and southeastward from there, UNLESS I see evidence to the contrary. Highs will end up in the lower 40’s. I’m adjusting down a few degrees just in case. Lows Wednesday night should be around 30.
THURSDAY/FRIDAY: I know many folks will have Thursday evening plans focused on their significant other for Valentine’s Day. I expect dry skies and highs in the middle 40’s with evening temperatures in the high 30’s for your dinner plans. Friday should stay mainly dry and partly cloudy with temperatures in the lower 40’s after lows Thursday night around 25.
SATURDAY/SUNDAY: I still think we could see snow flurries off a northwest lake fetch, but otherwise we will be partly cloudy with highs in the upper 20’s to middle 30’s and lows possibly in the upper teens. The NOGAPS and Canadian forecasting models try to bring a significant storm across KY…BUT it has no support from the GFS or European, so I don’t think I can buy it QUITE yet. Stay tuned.
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NEXT UPDATE: Your next blog update will be tomorrow by 7 AM. Until then, make it a great Tuesday night and take care!