Monday 2/25 Evening Forecast Update: Throwing In a Slight Wintry Chance

TONIGHT-THURSDAY: Precipitation begins late tonight (see below for more detailed discussion), and it will be a rainy Tuesday with lows around 34 in the morning. We then make it back to around 43 Tuesday afternoon. The rain changes over to a chance of snow showers Wednesday which sticks around through Thursday, with lows in the upper 20’s and highs in the middle to upper 30’s both Wednesday and Thursday.

A RATHER WINTRY CAVEAT: Now…here’s where the headline comes in. We’ve already got the wintry precipitation chances on Wednesday. The problem is, the last two runs of the GFS, particularly some of the BUFKIT data (I’ll try to get into that discussion at a later time, but basically it’s a visualization of the data that the model spits out for a specific location) tried to produce some freezing rain as far south as the metro area. While I can’t see how this occurs given that the atmosphere looks too warm on the graphical representations, and no other model is even throwing the chance in this far south…I also can’t rule out beginning as some wintry precipitation thanks in large part to something called evaporative cooling (you may remember it’s bit me on the tail end before). I would rather err on the side of caution and put the chance in than leave it out and risk having you unprepared. Consequently, I will put in a slight chance of wintry mixed precipitation late tonight and early tomorrow morning as far south as the city of Cincinnati, before about 8 AM — at which point it should all change over to rain. The higher potential for this is north of Cincinnati though, and really as you push north of I-70. I want to err on the side of extreme caution however.

FRIDAY-SUNDAY: The earlier suggestion that we would dry things out is still in play, but I can’t rule out some snow showers for the first half of the weekend. Highs will be around 35 all three days with morning lows of 29 Friday, 21 on Saturday and 24 on Sunday. This will all depend on if we can get some snow cover down — if we do, these numbers could need adjustment.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Follow along with us for weather info, school closings, and traffic updates as needed:

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NEXT UPDATE: Your next blog update will be tonight. Until then, make it a great Monday and take care!

Jeremy Moses

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Monday 2/25 Forecast: Another Nice Monday…Wet Tuesday!

TODAY: The calm before the next storm continues, with sunny skies and a high around 47 after a low of 26 this morning.

TONIGHT-THURSDAY: Rain begins late tonight and it will be a rainy Tuesday with lows around 38 in the morning and then making it back to around 45 Tuesday afternoon. This rain changes over to a chance of snow showers Wednesday which sticks around through Thursday, with lows in the upper 20’s and highs in the middle to upper 30’s both Wednesday and Thursday.

FRIDAY-SUNDAY: We will dry things out but remain mostly cloudy with highs around 35 and lows between 23 and 26.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Follow along with us for weather info, school closings, and traffic updates as needed:

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NEXT UPDATE: Your next blog update will be tonight. Until then, make it a great Monday and take care!

Jeremy Moses

Sunday 2/24 Forecast: Another Nice One

TODAY: I look for partly cloudy skies. Highs will be in the middle 40’s and lows tonight fall to around 27.

MONDAY: The calm before the next storm continues, with sunny skies and a high around 47..

TUESDAY-THURSDAY: Looks like a bit of a rain chance Tuesday with lows around 38 Tuesday morning and then making it back to around 45 Tuesday afternoon. This changes to a chance of snow showers Tuesday night which sticks around through Thursday, with lows in the upper 20’s and highs in the upper 30’s both Wednesday and Thursday.

FRIDAY: We will dry things out with highs around 40 after starting out near 30.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Follow along with us for weather info, school closings, and traffic updates as needed:

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NEXT UPDATE: Your next blog update will be tomorrow. Until then, make it a great Sunday and take care!

Jeremy Moses

Saturday 2/23 Forecast: A Cool, But Dry, Weekend

THIS WEEKEND: I look for partly cloudy skies. Highs will be in the lower 40’s both days and lows tonight fall to around 23.

MONDAY: The calm before the next storm continues, with sunny skies and a high around 47 after a low of 26.

TUESDAY-THURSDAY: Looks like a bit of a rain chance Tuesday with lows around 38 Tuesday morning and then making it back to around 45 Tuesday afternoon. This changes to a chance of snow showers Tuesday night which sticks around through Thursday, with lows in the upper 20’s and highs in the upper 30’s both Wednesday and Thursday.

FRIDAY: We will dry things out with highs around 40 after starting out near 30.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Follow along with us for weather info, school closings, and traffic updates as needed:

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NEXT UPDATE: Your next blog update will be tomorrow. Until then, make it a great Saturday and take care!

Jeremy Moses

Friday 2/22 Morning Update: After the Ice, Some Warmth!

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY remains in effect until 10 AM except for Fayette, Franklin and Union counties in IN and Butler, Warren and Clinton counties in OH which expire at noon.

TODAY: Freezing rain will change over to rain this morning if it hasn’t done so already before ending. Watch those secondary roads, overpasses and ANYTHING that’s not been treated for the next couple hours until we’re well above freezing! As warm air streams in, we could push 50 this afternoon!

THIS WEEKEND: We look partly cloudy with lows in the 20’s to lower 30’s and highs in the middle to upper 40’s.

MONDAY-WEDNESDAY: Looks like a bit of a rain chance Monday and Tuesday with highs around 53 on Monday, dropping to 38 Tuesday morning and then making it back to around 45 Tuesday. This changes to a chance of snow showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, with lows in the upper 20’s and highs around 44 Wednesday.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Follow along with us for weather info, school closings, and traffic updates as needed:

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NEXT UPDATE: Your next blog update will be either tonight or tomorrow. Until then, make it a great Friday and take care!

Jeremy Moses

Thursday 2/21 Morning Update: Icy Tonight to Rainy Friday

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 8 PM Tonight to 10 AM Friday for all counties served by the NWS in Wilmington.

TODAY: I expect dry conditions but increasing clouds. Highs will make it to 36.

TONIGHT-FRIDAY: The evening hours will be mostly dry, but then precipitation moves in late in the form of freezing rain. This will change over to rain tomorrow morning. It looks like a tenth to two tenths of an inch of ice will be possible before the changeover after sunrise. Lows will be around 30. Friday, as warm air streams in, we could push 50.

THIS WEEKEND: We look partly cloudy with lows in the 20’s to lower 30’s and highs in the middle to upper 40’s.

MONDAY-WEDNESDAY: Looks like a bit of a rain chance Monday and Tuesday with highs around 53 on Monday, dropping to 38 Tuesday morning and then making it back to around 45 Tuesday. This changes to a chance of snow showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, with lows in the upper 20’s and highs around 44 Wednesday.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Follow along with us for weather info, school closings, and traffic updates as needed:

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NEXT UPDATE: Your next blog update will be tonight as we track the wintry threat. Until then, make it a great Thursday and take care!

Jeremy Moses

Wednesday 2/20 Forecast: Tracking the Ice Threat

TODAY: Expect mostly cloudy skies and highs near 30 today with lows in the lower 20’s tonight. I can’t rule out a few snow showers until around noon.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY: We’ll be dry most of the day Thursday, but see increasing clouds with another system coming in…it’s looking like right now we could see some ice problems Thursday night, then change over to rain Friday morning. Stay tuned as we try to nail this down. Highs will be around 36 Thursday with lows within a couple degrees of freezing. Then Friday I think we make it closer to 40.

THIS WEEKEND: For right now, we look partly cloudy with lows in the 20’s to lower 30’s and highs in the middle to upper 40’s.

MONDAY: Looks like a bit of a rain chance Monday and Tuesday with highs around 53 on Monday, dropping to 38 Tuesday morning and then making it back to around 45 Tuesday.

SOCIAL MEDIA: Follow along with us for weather info, school closings, and traffic updates as needed:

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NEXT UPDATE: Your next blog update will be tonight as we track the wintry threat. Until then, make it a great Wednesday and take care!

Jeremy Moses